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Housing Price Bubble Watch: Accelerating Price Growth

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This article is more than 10 years old.

Bill McBride has Core Logics Year-over-Year on home prices:

The key here is to note that up is not home price growth, its home price growth acceleration.

Compare the slope today with the slope during 2003 and you can see that home price are accelerating faster. Indeed, notice that they are accelerating faster than they decelerated during the bust.

The breaks on home price growth were slammed down hard in 2006-2007. However, the gas today is being hit even harder.

Folks may notice that the price acceleration for distressed properties during 2009 was even more intense. In early 2009 price for distressed properties literally bounced. In both physics and finance a bounce indicates one the harder impacts possible, indeed much harder than smashing through the floor.

That’s the intensity of impact we are seeing now, except from a relatively steady perch rather than the end of a dramatic free fall.