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Mortgage rates sink to lowest levels in more than a year

February 25, 2016 at 10:00 a.m. EST
(Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg)

Consumers are losing confidence in the economy, and that’s helping drive down mortgage rates.

The Conference Board reported earlier this week that its consumer-confidence index sank to a seven-month low. The pessimistic outlook has caused investors to look for a safe place to park their money. Many of them have turned to bonds, sending yields lower. The yield on a 10-year Treasury note fell to 1.65 percent at one point on Wednesday before rebounding.

Since mortgage rates are closely tied to the movement of long-term bonds, interest rates on home loans continue to tumble.

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The 15-year fixed-rate average slipped to 2.93 percent with an average 0.5 point, its third straight week below 3 percent. It was 2.95 percent a week ago and 3.07 percent a year ago.

The five-year adjustable-rate average fell to 2.79 percent with an average 0.5 point. It was 2.85 percent a week ago and 2.99 percent a year ago.

“Yields on the 10-year Treasury continued their downward trend this week after a small rally the previous two weeks,” Sean Becketti, Freddie Mac chief economist, said in a statement.

“The 30-year mortgage responded, falling 3 basis points to 3.62 percent. [A basis point is 0.01 percentage point.] Since the beginning of 2016, 30-year rates have fallen almost 40 basis points helping housing markets sustain their momentum into this year. Earlier this week, the National Association of Realtors announced existing home-sales were up 4 percent month over month in January and up 11 percent from last year.”

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Meanwhile, mortgage applications were down, according to the latest data from the Mortgage Bankers Association.

The market composite index — a measure of total loan-application volume — fell 4.3 percent from the previous week. The refinance index tumbled 8 percent, while the purchase index rose 2 percent.

The refinance share of mortgage activity accounted for 61 percent of all applications.